Decision Timeline
AXP, decision by decision.
Not just who owns it now. This is the sequence of material choices managers reported, when each choice became visible, and the observed result after disclosure.
- Material decisions
- 11
- Buy / add
- 4
- Trim / exit
- 7
The cohort disagreed in Q2 2026.
At least one tracked manager bought or added while another trimmed or exited. The disagreement is the signal; it is not collapsed into a consensus score.
Eight-quarter evidence
4 reported quartersQ2 2026
filed Sep 2, 2026
64d lag
-8.0% vs SPY
21 sessions after disclosure
direction supported so far
Q2 2026
filed Aug 26, 2026
57d lag
-9.4% vs SPY
26 sessions after disclosure
direction not supported so far
Q2 2026
filed Aug 24, 2026
55d lag
-10.6% vs SPY
28 sessions after disclosure
direction not supported so far
Q1 2026
filed May 15, 2026
45d lag
+3.1% vs SPY
63 sessions after disclosure
direction supported so far
Q1 2026
filed May 1, 2026
31d lag
+2.5% vs SPY
63 sessions after disclosure
direction not supported so far
Q4 2025
filed Feb 17, 2026
48d lag
-17.5% vs SPY
63 sessions after disclosure
direction not supported so far
Q4 2025
filed Jan 28, 2026
28d lag
-14.5% vs SPY
63 sessions after disclosure
direction supported so far
Q4 2025
filed Jan 15, 2026
15d lag
-11.7% vs SPY
63 sessions after disclosure
direction supported so far
Q3 2024
filed Nov 14, 2024
45d lag
+3.3% vs SPY
63 sessions after disclosure
direction not supported so far
Q3 2024
filed Nov 14, 2024
45d lag
+3.3% vs SPY
63 sessions after disclosure
direction not supported so far
Q3 2024
filed Oct 31, 2024
31d lag
+10.3% vs SPY
63 sessions after disclosure
direction not supported so far
Latticework Follow
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Material means a new or exited position, or at least a 20% share-count change, with at least 0.5% portfolio weight or $100 million reported value. Share counts are adjusted for confirmed splits. Outcomes start after disclosure, not at an invented trade date, and are not manager returns.