LatticeworkTHE EVIDENCE DESK

Decision Timeline

EFX, decision by decision.

Not just who owns it now. This is the sequence of material choices managers reported, when each choice became visible, and the observed result after disclosure.

Material decisions
5
Buy / add
3
Trim / exit
2

The cohort disagreed in Q1 2026.

At least one tracked manager bought or added while another trimmed or exited. The disagreement is the signal; it is not collapsed into a consensus score.

Eight-quarter evidence

2 reported quarters
  1. Q1 2026

    filed May 15, 2026

    45d lag

    TRIM-47.3%

    AKO Capital · 2.5% of reported portfolio

    Original SEC filing ↗

    +3.1% vs SPY

    63 sessions after disclosure

    direction not supported so far

  2. Q1 2026

    filed May 15, 2026

    45d lag

    ADD+22.4%

    Hillman Capital Management · 1.7% of reported portfolio

    Original SEC filing ↗

    +3.1% vs SPY

    63 sessions after disclosure

    direction supported so far

  3. Q1 2026

    filed May 15, 2026

    45d lag

    EXITEXIT

    Valley Forge Capital Management · 0.7% of reported portfolio

    Original SEC filing ↗

    +3.1% vs SPY

    63 sessions after disclosure

    direction not supported so far

  4. Q1 2026

    filed Apr 21, 2026

    21d lag

    ADD+105.6%

    Robert Olstein · 1.5% of reported portfolio

    Original SEC filing ↗

    -9.6% vs SPY

    63 sessions after disclosure

    direction not supported so far

  5. Q1 2025

    filed May 15, 2025

    45d lag

    ADD+27.6%

    Bill Nygren · 1.9% of reported portfolio

    Original SEC filing ↗

    -19.6% vs SPY

    63 sessions after disclosure

    direction not supported so far

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Material means a new or exited position, or at least a 20% share-count change, with at least 0.5% portfolio weight or $100 million reported value. Share counts are adjusted for confirmed splits. Outcomes start after disclosure, not at an invented trade date, and are not manager returns.