Dorsey Asset Management increased APP by 39%. Was it still actionable?
The filing established that Dorsey Asset Management increased APP shares by 38.6%. It did not reveal transaction dates, execution prices, or the manager's reason for the change.
Latticework verdict
Context, not a trade alert
High-conviction increase. Low timing precision.
A 14.5% reported portfolio weight makes this increase material. Pattern: one-quarter change. But the disclosed change could have occurred anywhere in the quarter and was published 45 days after quarter end, making it 45–135 days old at disclosure. Use it to investigate the thesis, not to copy an entry or exit.
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- Reported shares
- +38.6%
- Portfolio weight
- 14.5%
- Quarter-end value
- $226M
- Signal age
- 45–135d
What the clock tells us
Apr 1, 2026
Change window opens
The net change could begin here—or later.
Jun 30, 2026
Quarter-end snapshot
The filing measures shares and fair value on this date.
Aug 14, 2026
Public disclosure
The snapshot arrived 45 days after quarter end.
The filing does not identify transaction dates inside the Apr 1, 2026–Jun 30, 2026 change window.
What we know
- Shares: 316,952 → 439,313, a net increase of 122,361.
- Weight: APP moved from 10.0% to 14.5% of Dorsey Asset Management's reported long U.S. equity book.
- Pattern: The latest move did not extend a three-quarter directional share-count pattern. Reported weight path: 2024Q3 9.8% → 2026Q1 10.0% → 2026Q2 14.5%.
- Valuation snapshot: the filing implies $515.23 per share at quarter end. That is reported fair value, not Dorsey Asset Management's entry price.
Decision test
- Meaningful?Yes
- Large share change and material book weight. Pattern: one-quarter change.
- Timely?No
- The information was 45–135 days old at publication.
- Corroborated?Mixed
- 4 material buy/add and 2 trim/exit signals across the cohort.
- Copyable?No
- No trade dates, cost basis, rationale, or manager-specific constraints.
Source versions and follow-through
What was recorded, and when?
First registered 2026-09-07 · source version 1, recorded 2026-09-07. The source filing was public on 2026-08-14; registration here happened separately.
Prospective observation · tracking
This version's clock begins at the first shared market close strictly after 2026-09-07. The filing date alone cannot backdate a selection. Earlier post-filing returns remain in the retrospective tracker below.
-14.0% stock · 0.7% SPY · -14.8 percentage points vs SPY · 2026-09-08–2026-10-02 (19 closes).
Inspect source versions and corrections (1)
Version 1 · 2026-09-07
First prospective registration; earlier filing returns remain retrospective.
ADD · 10.04% before → 14.50% after.
Original SEC source ↗Source snapshot SHA-256 fd9909834b21be69f8bc1a0fec7b83f011bec154dddb6cab9dc159b22d05723e
30 dated prospective observations retained. Source changes restart the revised claim's clock; previous versions and observations stay in the registry.
Download the source and observation registryRegistration versions are retained in this project's history, not certified by an independent timestamp authority. This is an editorial sample with overlapping stocks, not a prediction or a manager portfolio backtest.
Retrospective outcome tracker · tracking
What happened after disclosure?
Measured from the first shared market close after the SEC filing—not from the manager's unknown entry or exit price.
- APP
- -14.0%
- SPY
- -0.1%
- Vs SPY
- -13.9%
The disclosed direction is not supported so far.
Early performance can reverse. This is observation, not a verdict on the manager or the security.
The cohort did not move as one
Tracked managers disclosed 4 material buy/add signals and 2 trim/exit signals in APP. Quarter-end cohort ownership moved from 5 to 5. This was disagreement, not consensus.
- Terry SmithNEW+100.0% shares2.7% of book
- Ray DalioNEW+100.0% shares0.3% of book
- Stephen MandelTRIM-28.9% shares3.3% of book
- Chase ColemanEXIT-100.0% shares1.7% of book
Source trail and limits
- A 13F reports quarter-end holdings, not transaction dates or execution prices.
- The net share change may represent multiple purchases and sales during the quarter.
- Portfolio weight covers Dorsey Asset Management's disclosed long U.S. 13F book, not its full assets or exposures.
- Quarter-end value per share is reported fair value divided by shares; it is not the manager's cost basis.
SEC accession 0001398344-26-014470 · CUSIP 03831W108
Primary-source research, not investment advice.