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Quarterly Brief

2026Q2 — what the cohort just did

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TL;DR

  1. 01Buffett doubles down on GOOGL — adds $12.6B to bring the position to $28.2B (9.4% of BRK's portfolio); the largest dollar-move in the dataset and a sharp signal from a famously reluctant tech buyer.
  2. 02Mandel wipes his prior book and resets — exits VST, TLN, CLH, THC, COF (~$2.4B out) and simultaneously builds $1.2B in Nebius Group plus new positions in STX, HD, AMAT, LIN; the magnitude of the pivot warrants close attention.
  3. 03GOOGL/GOOG is now the single most-held name — Buffett adds hard, Loeb nearly 6×s his GOOGL stake, Druckenmiller initiates; Li Lu, Klarman, Tepper, Russo, Armitage, Bryan Lawrence all hold at high conviction weights. Value + macro + special-situation consensus is unusually strong.
  4. 04Mastercard attracts a five-manager buying wave — Terry Smith initiates, AltaRock +46%, Vulcan +31%, AKO adds; the payments franchise is drawing compounders and quality managers alike.
  5. 05PDD Holdings: Li Lu +134% to 22% of portfolio while Duan Yongping (who founded the company's spiritual predecessor) also adds 27%; two of the sharpest China hands are loading simultaneously.

Watchlist

  1. 01GOOGL — Buffett adds $12.6B, Loeb 6×s, Druckenmiller initiates, Li Lu holds at 24.5%; value/macro/growth consensus rarely this unified. The AI-search moat debate appears to be resolving in the bulls' favor among the sharpest investors alive.
  2. 02MA — Five independent buyers in one quarter (Terry Smith initiating is the swing factor; she does not add mediocre businesses). Cross-network effect and take-rate expansion make this the cleanest compounder in financial services.
  3. 03Nebius Group — Mandel's $1.2B new position (7.2% of a multi-billion book) in a re-listed European AI infrastructure company is a highly asymmetric bet from one of the most rigorous growth analysts. Worth deep diligence before the market catches on.
  4. 04APH (Amphenol) — Armitage nearly doubles to 8.3% while AI datacentre interconnect spend accelerates; the position is too large to be casual, and APH has a demonstrated ability to compound through capex cycles.
  5. 05PDD Holdings — Li Lu at 22% + Duan Yongping (PDD's spiritual co-architect) adding simultaneously; two investors with the deepest possible informational edge on this business are both adding at current prices. The China-risk discount may be more than fully priced in their judgment.

AI-generated. Not investment advice.

Per-bucket analyst tables(expand ↓)

Super Investor Brief — 2026Q2


New Positions

Ticker Investor Size ($M) % Port Rationale
WBD Daniel Loeb 533 11.5% Third Point at full concentration; Loeb's special-situations frame suggests a restructuring/asset-monetization thesis in Warner Bros Discovery's messy post-merger balance sheet.
EGO Prem Watsa 427 16.2% An enormous gold-miner bet from a deep-value insurer; paired with his ORLA add, Watsa is making an explicit precious-metals / hard-asset allocation — out-of-character in size.
BDX Greenhaven 860 9.9% Greenhaven's concentrated, low-turnover style plus a near-10% weight implies a multi-year bet on Becton's post-spinoff (BD Diagnostics) valuation discount to MedTech peers.
Nebius S. Mandel 1,176 7.2% Lone Pine's largest new position; Nebius (ex-Yandex AI cloud infrastructure) fits Mandel's growth-at-scale template and suggests he sees a European AI compute compounder being mispriced.
GOOGL S. Druckenmiller 120 2.8% Fresh initiation from a macro legend who doesn't do mediocre convictions; directionally consistent with Buffett's monster add and Loeb's near-6× this quarter.
UBER Terry Smith 213 4.7% Smith's Fundsmith demands high ROCE, durable moats; Uber's move to positive FCF and network-density advantages apparently cleared his bar for the first time.
MA Terry Smith 202 4.5% Simultaneous initiation with Uber; Smith was already long Visa — adding MA completes the payments duopoly. Combined with five other managers adding MA this quarter, this is a consensus-level signal.
KEYS Daniel Loeb 205 4.4% Keysight is a test-and-measurement precision instrument play; fits a tariff-resilient domestic-industrial thesis or a semiconductor capex cycle bet from a special-situations lens.
XYZ (Block) Daniel Loeb 194 4.2% Third Point opens Block alongside WBD and KEYS in the same quarter — Loeb is constructing a multi-leg special-situations/fintech book from scratch.
AJG Glenn Greenberg 295 6.4% Greenberg's Brave Warrior is known for durable-franchise concentration; Arthur J. Gallagher's organic-growth insurance brokerage model checks every quality-compounder box.

Conviction Adds

Ticker Investor Value ($M) % Port Δ% Shares
GOOGL Warren Buffett 28,158 9.4% +45%
PDD Li Lu 821 22.2% +134%
AMZN S. Druckenmiller 129 3.0% +1,083%
GOOGL Daniel Loeb 366 7.9% +486%
KHC Prem Watsa 338 12.8% +172%
XRAY Alex Roepers 23 12.2% +261%
AMZN Seth Klarman 892 16.5% +20%
SUNB AKO Capital 454 10.6% +91%
TSM David Tepper 788 10.5% +24%
APH John Armitage 858 8.3% +69%

Rationale:

  • GOOGL / Buffett: $12.6B added in a single quarter is Berkshire's largest discrete buy in recent memory. At 9.4% of the portfolio, Google is now a top-5 position. The signal is structural — Buffett sees AI monetization risk as lower than the market implied.
  • PDD / Li Lu: Li Lu's Himalaya Capital is famously illiquid and long-duration; moving PDD to 22% while simultaneously exiting BAC signals a deliberate reallocation from U.S. financials into China e-commerce at depressed multiples.
  • AMZN / Druckenmiller: 10× position build is not trimming around a theme — it's a new bet. Combined with his fresh GOOGL initiation, Druckenmiller is concentrating in mega-cap U.S. tech this quarter.
  • KHC / Watsa: Doubling Kraft Heinz (already cheap on book) after a multiyear holding period suggests Watsa sees a catalyst — likely balance-sheet repair or brand monetization — not just mean-reversion patience.
  • SUNB / AKO: AKO Capital nearly doubles Sunbelt Rentals to 10.6% — consistent with AKO's quality-growth-at-reasonable-price style and a conviction call on infrastructure/construction cycle durability.
  • APH / Armitage: Cantillon-style investor nearly doubles Amphenol to 8.3% — APH is the purest-play beneficiary of AI datacentre interconnect and defense electronics capex. Position-size increase is unusually aggressive for Armitage's typically measured approach.

Exits

Ticker Investor Prev Value ($M) Prev % Port
VST S. Mandel 930 7.4%
TLN S. Mandel 580 4.6%
CRS J. Armitage 525 5.8%
CLH S. Mandel 503 4.0%
COF S. Mandel / Sosin 414 / 105 3.3% / 6.0%
WTW Seth Klarman 260 5.1%
CME J. Armitage 349 3.9%
BB Prem Watsa 113 5.8%
CNQ J. Armitage 277 3.1%
THC S. Mandel 426 3.4%

Rationale:

  • VST/TLN/CLH/THC (Mandel exits): Mandel liquidates his entire power-generation and healthcare-services book ($2.4B+ across four names). Reading this alongside his new buys in Nebius, STX, AMAT, HD, LIN — this is a deliberate rotation from domestic power-cycle and cyclical healthcare into AI infrastructure and secular compounders.
  • WTW (Klarman): Selling the full Willis Towers Watson position while doubling AMZN signals Klarman is pivoting toward higher-conviction mega-cap tech rather than financial-services restructuring plays.
  • CRS/CME/CNQ (Armitage): Cleaning out specialty metals (Carpenter), exchange infrastructure (CME), and Canadian energy while doubling AMZN and APH — consistent with a quality-growth tilt away from commodities/rate-sensitive names.
  • BB (Watsa): BlackBerry was a legacy Fairfax position; finally closed out. Frees capital for the EGO/ORLA gold build.
  • COF (Sosin): Sosin exits Capital One and simultaneously opens META as a new position — rotating from a credit-cycle-dependent consumer bank into a secular ad-tech compounder.

Consensus Buys

Ticker Buyers Notable Investors Aggregate Style Mix
GOOGL 3 ADD/NEW Buffett (+45%), Loeb (+486%), Druckenmiller (NEW) Value + special-sit + macro — maximum style diversity
MA 5 ADD/NEW AltaRock (+46%), Vulcan (+31%), Terry Smith (NEW), AKO (+22%), Greenberg (tiny) Compounders + quality-growth — deepest consensus on the board
MSFT 4 ADD/NEW AltaRock (+25%), D. Hong (NEW), D. Rolfe (+21%), R. Vinall (+31%) Quality-compounder consensus; AltaRock at 20.5% is a concentration signal
AMZN 4 ADD Klarman (+20%), Druckenmiller (+1,083%), Armitage (+51%), Rolfe (+36%) Value + macro + growth quality simultaneously piling in
UBER 3 ADD/NEW Pat Dorsey (+62%), Terry Smith (NEW), Tepper (+22%) Rare: quality-franchise + compounders + macro all in
TSM 3 ADD/NEW Tepper (+24%), Loeb (+67%), Terry Smith (effectively NEW at +14,322%) Semi supply-chain bet with macro + special-sit validation
META 2 NEW + 2 ADD Sosin (NEW), Miller (NEW), Tepper (+55%), Dorsey (+24%) Concentrated value + growth + macro
SPGI 5 NEW/ADD Dorsey (+42%), Triple Frond (NEW), Armitage (NEW), Bloomstran (NEW) High-quality financial data; near-unanimous new interest
UBER (above) — —
PDD 2 ADD Li Lu (+134%), Duan Yongping (+27%) Two foremost China specialists; very high signal

Highest-signal: GOOGL (Buffett + Loeb + Druckenmiller all acting simultaneously, spanning three entirely different investment styles) and MA (five independent buyers across compounder and quality-growth styles, with Terry Smith initiating at a full 4.5% weight).


High-Conviction Overlap

"What super investors are betting the farm on"

Ticker Active Holders Key Stakes Signal
GE Hohn (33.6%), Peltz (35.6%), AKO ~$19.5B aggregate; TCI + Trian both at top-position weights Two of the best industrial activists simultaneously at max conviction — this is the most concentrated ownership cluster in the cohort
GOOG/GOOGL Li Lu (23.4%/24.5%), Klarman, Tepper, Russo (12%), Armitage (11%), Bryan Lawrence (15.6%) Deep, broad ownership AI + search monetization is the single most-owned thesis across styles
V Hohn (19.8%), Armitage (14.1%), Ubben (14.1%), AltaRock (+68%) $12.5B at Hohn alone Payments infrastructure is a "forever hold" across all quality-oriented managers
MA Akre (20%), AltaRock (9.3%), Russo (8.8%), Valley Forge (17.6%), Vulcan (7.9%) High active-weight ownership + five fresh adds The consensus quality compounder of the quarter
AMZN AltaRock (32%), Klarman (16.5%), Tepper (16%), Josh Tarasoff (18.3%), Armitage (8.2%), Coleman (9.6%) >$7B aggregate across active buyers Cloud + commerce + ad flywheel drawing universal conviction
MCO Hohn (12.3%), Valley Forge (19.1%), Akre (10.3%), Armitage (7.5%) $8.4B aggregate Rating-agency oligopoly held at top-5 weight by four distinct styles
BRK/A+B Li Lu (BRK/B 15%), Duan (24%), Gates Foundation (21%), Bloomstran (25%), Norbert Lou (42%), Guy Spier (33%) Foundational "own the owner" holding BRK remains the single deepest consensus across the entire cohort by holder count

Long US equity 13F filings only. Per-investor briefs live on each manager's page. Not investment advice.